Countdown to TCJA’s Expiration and What It Means for You



What is the TCJA?

When Will the TCJA Expire?


How the TCJA Expiration Will Affect Taxpayers

  1. Higher Tax Rates for Individuals
    The TCJA reduced tax rates across several income brackets. When the TCJA expires, these brackets will revert to pre-2017 rates, leading to potentially higher taxes for many individuals.
  2. Changes to Standard and Itemized Deductions
    The TCJA nearly doubled the standard deduction, encouraging more taxpayers to use it over itemizing. Once the TCJA expires, the standard deduction will decrease, and limitations on itemized deductions will likely return, impacting high earners.
  3. State and Local Tax (SALT) Deduction Cap
    The TCJA introduced a $10,000 cap on SALT deductions, significantly affecting taxpayers in high-tax states. If the TCJA expires without a replacement, the previous rules on SALT deductions will be restored, potentially benefiting these taxpayers.
  4. Child Tax Credit
    The TCJA temporarily increased the child tax credit to $2,000 per child and expanded eligibility. If the act expires, the credit could decrease to its pre-2017 amount of $1,000, affecting many families with dependents.
  5. Pass-Through Business Deduction (Section 199A)
    A major benefit for small businesses and certain pass-through entities, the 20% deduction for qualified business income (QBI), will also sunset with the TCJA. Its expiration would significantly affect small business tax planning.
  6. Estate and Gift Tax Exemptions
    The TCJA increased the estate and gift tax exemption to $11.7 million for individuals. When it expires, the exemption will likely revert to pre-2017 levels, around $5 million, which could impact estate planning strategies.

Current Tax Brackets vs. Potential 2026 Brackets

2023 Tax Brackets (Under TCJA)

Tax RateSingleMarried Filing Jointly
10%Up to $11,000Up to $22,000
12%$11,001 to $44,725$22,001 to $89,450
22%$44,726 to $95,375$89,451 to $190,750
24%$95,376 to $182,100$190,751 to $364,200
32%$182,101 to $231,250$364,201 to $462,500
35%$231,251 to $578,125$462,501 to $693,750
37%Over $578,125Over $693,750

Potential 2026 Tax Brackets (Reverting to Pre-TCJA)

Tax RateSingleMarried Filing Jointly
10%Up to $9,525Up to $19,050
15%$9,526 to $38,700$19,051 to $77,400
25%$38,701 to $93,700$77,401 to $156,150
28%$93,701 to $195,450$156,151 to $237,950
33%$195,451 to $424,950$237,951 to $424,950
35%$424,951 to $426,700$424,951 to $480,050
39.6%Over $426,700Over $480,050

How to Prepare for the TCJA’s Expiration

  1. Review Income Tax Brackets and Adjustments
    High earners should consider timing income and deductions around the expiration date to take advantage of the current lower tax rates.
  2. Maximize the Current Standard Deduction
    If you regularly itemize deductions, consider strategies like bunching charitable contributions into one tax year to optimize deductions while the current high standard deduction is available.
  3. Plan for Changes to the Child Tax Credit
    Families who rely on the child tax credit should budget for a potential decrease in the credit amount and consider tax-advantaged accounts to save for their children’s needs.
  4. Adjust Estate Plans
    Individuals with significant estates should review their estate plans and gifting strategies, as a lower exemption may subject a greater portion of their wealth to estate taxes.
  5. Small Businesses Should Plan for QBI Deduction Changes
    Pass-through entities may need to adjust their tax strategy to mitigate the impact of losing the 20% deduction for qualified business income.

Conclusion: What’s Next for Taxpayers?

The TCJA’s expiration could lead to significant tax increases for individuals and businesses. By understanding the potential changes, taxpayers can take proactive steps to prepare and optimize their tax strategies. Working with a tax professional, like those at MCMG Tax, can help you navigate these changes and ensure you’re maximizing available benefits under current laws.

Planning ahead is essential, and 2025 presents an ideal time to assess your financial situation and take advantage of TCJA provisions while they last. Whether you’re an individual, a family, or a business owner, understanding these potential changes will allow you to make informed decisions for a smoother tax transition in 2026.

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